Social governance

"Fugitive Offenders Ordinance" revised, society is in dire need of repair

Who would have thought that the sudden Fugitive Offenders Ordinance would develop into a deadlock that would tear apart society? One side adheres to the principle of justice and hopes to bring absconding offenders to justice; the other side is concerned about the protection of personal safety and does not want to dismantle the firewall between the two places. The bill needs to be reviewed before the Legislative Council adjourns in July. Now that the government has enough votes and a firm stance, there is no doubt that the revised script will be passed and it will enter the countdown stage. However, the public opinion mobilized through signatures, rallies and marches is not easy to resolve, and the social atmosphere is restless. After this battle, the mutual trust between the government and the people urgently needs to be repaired.

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Continuing one country, two systems is a cross-sectarian consensus

The Basic Law promises that "one country, two systems" will remain unchanged for 50 years. Whether "one country, two systems" will continue to be implemented after 2047 is a key issue related to the future of Hong Kong. Although the Basic Law does not explicitly state that it must be changed after 50 years, the unresolved "second future issue" is approaching day by day, triggering different imaginations among the people. One extreme advocates "Hong Kong independence" and the implementation of complete autonomy, while the other extreme pursues "one country, one system" and direct jurisdiction by China. Many people believe that both are niche ideas, so we try to identify the social consensus through opinion polls.
Democratic Ideas launched the "One Country, Two Systems Index" on the 20th anniversary of Hong Kong's return to the motherland to regularly track the overview of "One Country, Two Systems" and commissioned the Hong Kong Asia-Pacific Institute of the Chinese University of Hong Kong to conduct random sampling telephone surveys every six months. Since mid-2017, 4 rounds of democratic thinking have been completed. tune. In the latest round of polls in December 2018, two new questions were asked to measure citizens’ attitudes towards the continuation of “one country, two systems” after 2047. The results are shown in Tables 1 and 2.

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Isn’t Hong Kong de-radicalized?

Nativism spreads by taking advantage of the conflicts between the mainland and Hong Kong, impacting Hong Kong's political landscape. Democratic Ideas publishes the "One Country, Two Systems Index" every six months. The latest round has observed a significant decline in non-establishment supporters, society is showing signs of de-radicalization, and moderate politics is growing. Opponents firmly believe that even if radicalism ebbs, it will make a comeback if the situation changes in the future. They even use the excuse that the survey results only reflect the illusion that citizens are "moderate". If it is not due to a change in public sentiment and non-establishment factions turning to moderates and establishment factions, can the "indifferent theory" and "scorched earth theory" alone be enough to explain it?

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Deradicalization is on the rise as moderate politics

Candidates for the Legislative Council by-election were DQ (disqualified), the Hong Kong National Party was banned, and Ma Kai’s visa renewal was refused. A series of political controversies triggered the Hong Kong citizens and the international community to pay close attention to the one country, two systems. Pan-democrats were re-elected in the Kowloon West by-election. After two defeats, the number of people marching on July 1 and New Year's Day dropped, and even foreign media questioned the prospects of "Hong Kong independence." Some people blame improper election strategies, some assert that the social atmosphere is cold, and some resort to chilling effects, but few are willing to admit another explanation that is more realistic: citizens realize that radicalism is no way out, so public sentiment turns to moderate politics. look up. This article will use polling data to analyze how the political landscape has evolved over the past year and a half.

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Global population aging reflects on intergenerational justice

The deadline for Britain's "hard Brexit" is imminent, and the uncertain future has made many young people feel despair about the future. Young people prefer to remain in the European Union, while older people prefer to leave the European Union. The generational gap emerged in the referendum two and a half years ago. The younger generation cannot influence the overall situation. They see their opportunities for free migration, work and study being stifled, and they will have to bear the consequences of Brexit at the mercy of the older generation for a long time to come. At present, the number of young voters has increased by 1.5 million. If history can repeat itself, I believe there will be a different outcome. The history of intergenerational injustice continues, and calls for a second referendum are rising, creating another democratic crisis.

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A talent training system for Hong Kong’s governance must be established

Hong Kong society has always been in demand for governance talents. At present, those who are directly involved in relevant work in Hong Kong mainly participate in Hong Kong's public affairs within the SAR government system through appointments, elections, or promotions in the civil service; they shoulder different roles and functions in the field of Hong Kong governance. The SAR government and various social institutions, organizations and groups have been providing relevant courses or training with a view to cultivating more local governance talents.

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Changes in public sentiment and public opinion structure in Carrie Lam’s first year of administration

The concept of "one country, two systems" requires "seeking common ground while reserving great differences." It is natural for a pluralistic society to have different opinions. Faced with the long-term accumulation of antagonism among citizens and public opinion, "great reconciliation" to resolve conflicts is believed to be the wish of most citizens. The new government focuses on improving people's livelihood and dealing with long-standing and difficult issues such as land and housing. In particular, it needs to seek compromise and consensus. This article will use opinion polls and big data technology to analyze whether the polarized atmosphere in society has eased after the first anniversary of Carrie Lam's administration from the perspective of the chief executive's popularity, public sentiment and changes in public opinion.

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Lam’s first anniversary marks the rise of moderate politics

Repairing social divisions is the common aspiration of most citizens and is also the top priority in Carrie Lam’s election declaration. On the first anniversary of the new government’s administration, can it cool down social conflicts? There is a gentle breeze blowing in the political arena, and public opinion is tired of radicalism. Has the "Third Way" that advocates moderate politics created conditions for rebuilding harmony?

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Looking at the differences between "one country, two systems" from Hong Kong and international perspectives

"One country, two systems" is an unprecedented attempt and relies on the joint efforts of policymakers and people in society. In order to ensure that "one country, two systems" can be implemented stably and long-term, it must be continuously reviewed to provide the government and the public with a reliable reference. Democratic Thoughts compiled the first "One Country, Two Systems" index last year on the occasion of the 20th anniversary of Hong Kong's return to the motherland. It is published every six months. This week it released the third index in an attempt to comprehensively evaluate the implementation of "One Country, Two Systems".

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