Economic Development

Competition among Hong Kong youths heading north is fierce

The development potential of the Greater Bay Area is huge. Information about the nine cities in Guangdong Province is gradually circulating in Hong Kong, and many success stories are attracting citizens to travel north. More and more young people from Hong Kong are interested in finding jobs in the Greater Bay Area. Mainland employers are undoubtedly hungry for talent. However, the job market has always been fiercely competitive, with both mainland graduates and international talents from around the world. It is not easy for Hong Kong youth to stand out, and people are concerned about whether they can seize development opportunities and build personal careers.

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Immigration survey with conflicting results

Immigration is an eternal topic among Hong Kong people. A recent poll found that one in four people planned to immigrate, a slight increase from half a year ago. Coincidentally, Democratic Thought also released a poll last month, and the willingness to immigrate dropped significantly compared to half a year ago. The two surveys rose and the other fell. Many people asked the author how to interpret it. What is even more curious is who is more accurate?

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Dealing with the hesitation of small and medium-sized enterprises to break through adversity in the Greater Bay Area

The epidemic situation in Hong Kong has been recurring, and small, medium and micro enterprises have the most difficult time operating. On the contrary, the situation in the mainland is relatively stable, and foreign capital and large Hong Kong companies have not slowed down their entry into the Greater Bay Area, causing the market center of gravity to shift further north. Hong Kong's small and medium-sized enterprises are flexible and changeable, and many are still trying to transform and innovate in the face of adversity. However, not all small and medium-sized enterprises are able to explore and expand the Greater Bay Area market and find business opportunities. How can the government provide targeted support to help them get out of trouble?

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Counting the scale of immigration waves

After the political changes, Hong Kong is no longer the same. Foreign countries have taken advantage of this situation to tailor-make new visa channels, making whether to leave or stay become a decision that is close to many people's eyes. Coupled with the COVID-19 epidemic, some people have left Hong Kong to avoid the epidemic. In the middle of last year, Hong Kong's net emigration exceeded 75,000, a record high; last month, Hong Kong's net emigration exceeded 65,000, which was also a new high after the implementation of travel restrictions. The media's search for stories of people living in foreign lands and the images of relatives and friends farewelling at the airport have become evidence of the reappearance of the immigration wave in the eyes of many people. They ask in their hearts: If a large number of Hong Kong people leave Hong Kong, will this still be the original city? There are three related phenomena worth clarifying in this question: how large the exodus is, whether they originally belong to the city, and whether the immigration situation will continue.

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RCEP’s opportunities for Hong Kong bridge the Greater Bay Area and Southeast Asia

RCEP will come into effect on the first day of 2022, and Hong Kong is seeking to join. In response to the wave of regional liberalization, the Institute of Emerging Markets at HKUST examines the relationship between Hong Kong and Southeast Asia from the perspective of the Greater Bay Area (Note). The following shares their main views, hoping to shed some light on how Hong Kong can leverage its own advantages and bring closer cooperation with partners in the Greater Bay Area and Southeast Asia to achieve win-win outcomes for all parties.

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Foreign investment in Hong Kong is driven by the Greater Bay Area

The epidemic has not disappeared, the customs clearance date has not yet been determined, and the anti-amendment chaos has endangered political stability, making rumors of foreign investment withdrawals increasingly rampant. This year's Census and Statistics Department's survey on foreign-funded companies in Hong Kong was released. Although the number hit a new high, the increase mainly came from mainland companies. Companies in the United States, Japan and South Korea all fell, while European companies remained flat. No wonder some people doubt whether Hong Kong's business advantages are enough to attract international investors?

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Common prosperity and disparity between rich and poor

Under the order of "common prosperity", large companies enthusiastically donated money and were jokingly called "protection fees." Shared prosperity is originally a policy of the Mainland and has nothing to do with Hong Kong. However, according to the stock market news, hundreds of millions of Chinese listed companies have lost their market value, and Hong Kong businessmen doing business in the Mainland are also confused and frightened. The timing coincides with vigorous regulatory actions, as antitrust and preventing the disorderly expansion of capital have been listed as key tasks since last year. Internet companies received hefty fines, chaos in the fandom and bad actors were punished, and the double-cut policy cracked down on the tutoring industry, leading people to mistakenly equate common prosperity with looting private projects.

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How does the U.S. Bay Area view Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao?

Sino-US relations are not broken through fighting. Biden's China policy is not as tough as Trump's, but he is more active in wooing allies to counter China. The previous export blockade on dual-use technology remains in effect, and US sensitive technology companies will also be subject to scrutiny if they want to operate in China. The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is the locomotive of China's technological innovation and has suffered greatly. However, the San Francisco Bay Area, which also focuses on high-tech fields, has also been implicated, and numerous foreign investment plans have been stalled. The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is a platform for opening up to the outside world, and foreign investment participation is particularly important. As the official strategic space becomes increasingly narrow, how do the American business community and the public view the development of the Greater Bay Area? 

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Economic recovery is in sight and transformation and development are planned

The COVID-19 epidemic is raging and Hong Kong is facing unprecedented difficulties. The economy contracted by 6.1% in 2020, the largest decline on record. The unemployment rate is 5.9%, which is also a historical high. Tourism, construction and other consumer industries are the hardest hit areas. Overall trade rebounded sharply after a sharp decline in the first half of the year, mainly benefiting from the growth in exports to the mainland, but still recorded a slight decline throughout the year. As for trade in services, tourism and transportation came to a standstill, and only cross-border financial and fund-raising activities were active, leading to a slight increase in financial services. With the promulgation and implementation of the National Security Law in Hong Kong, society has gradually stabilized, but the road to economic recovery is still long.

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Young people want to venture abroad

The struggle between China and the West is turbulent. The Five Eyes Alliance has adjusted its policy towards Hong Kong, focusing on attacking people's hearts. It has relaxed immigration measures and accelerated the dispersal of Hong Kong people to foreign lands. First, there is the new BNO visa in the UK. Although it has welfare restrictions, it is enough to pave the way for naturalization. Canada is recruiting highly educated Hong Kong people, while Australia is retaining local graduates and high-skilled workers. Even though the epidemic makes it difficult to travel far away, the doors of many countries have been opened to high-quality immigrants. The wave of resignations in the professional sector is rampant. It is not difficult for early-career young people to leave, wearing square hats and holding BNOs in their hands. This makes people worry that Hong Kong is gradually entering the dusk.

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