Economic Development

Innovative thinking drives consumption growth

From February's "Hello, Hong Kong!" to launch global promotions, April's "Happy Hong Kong" to focus on local fun, to September's "Hong Kong Night Fun" to create nighttime vitality, the SAR government has prescribed prescriptions to revitalize the economy, aiming to Social mobilization to stimulate consumption and attract tourists. In the past, countercyclical measures were taken to do everything possible to rescue the market and preserve employment, but this also resulted in five consecutive years of fiscal deficit, making it difficult to expect the government to make large investments again. In the first half of the year, the interest rate differential between Hong Kong and the United States impacted the linked exchange rate. It was still too early to announce the interest rate cut cycle, and there were not many policy tools available to the government.

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Hong Kong must also promote high-quality development

The "2023 World Competitiveness Annual Report" was released earlier. Although Hong Kong is fully promoting the pace of returning to normal, its ranking has dropped from fifth to seventh last year. The change in rankings is, on the one hand, affected by the adjustment of various indicators in the report, and there are certain subjective factors that do not need to be over-interpreted; but on the other hand, some development weaknesses pointed out by industry experts are worthy of our humble view. Among various scores, Hong Kong's rankings in the local economy, job market, productivity and efficiency fell the most. It can be seen that Hong Kong's economy must grow both in terms of total volume and improve quality in order to maintain international competitiveness.

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Xiongan New Area embodies Xi Jinping’s core executive will

Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, the Yangtze River Delta and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area are the three major metropolitan areas of China's economic layout, radiating and driving the development of the northern, central and southern regions. President Xi Jinping visited Xiongan New Area last week, accompanied by three members of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau, who proposed to make the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region a pioneer and demonstration area for Chinese-style modernization. With similar positioning, only Shenzhen is a pioneer demonstration zone for socialism with Chinese characteristics and Shanghai Pudong is a leading zone for socialist modernization. This means that Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei will set up different reform pilots and have a variety of national-level policy dividends. This "thousand-year plan" has once again become the focus of attention.

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Clearing customs and rebuilding life in the Bay Area

At the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Vice Premier Liu He announced that China's door will continue to be open to foreign investment, convincing global leaders that the economic vitality unleashed by China is the hope of boosting global growth. Three years after the dynamic was cleared, strict domestic lockdowns were relaxed, and Hong Kong raced against time to restart cross-border transportation. The market gradually showed signs of recovery, and the Lunar New Year was full of joy and peace. Customs clearance between the two places is the first step towards a full return to normal, and is also a good start for the new development of the Greater Bay Area.

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Rethinking Hong Kong’s economic status after the 20th National Congress

The 20th National Congress report is Xi Jinping's policy blueprint for the next five years. It also theorizes China's development experience, opens up a "Chinese-style modernization" path that is different from the West, and inspires other developing countries to break away from European and American hegemony. The United States spreads the theory of China threat everywhere and regards it as "the most serious geopolitical challenge." Recently, the House of Representatives overwhelmingly approved the establishment of the "Special Committee on Strategic Competition between the United States and the Communist Party of China", representing the Republican and Democratic parties who are unanimously targeting China. The international situation is turbulent and Hong Kong cannot be alone. The only way to break through the Western containment is to help the mainland improve its economic strength and strengthen cooperation with foreign interests.

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South finance and north innovation and technology keep pace with each other

Hong Kong has a shortage of development land, insufficient housing supply, and insufficient land reserves to meet development and housing needs. The economic structure focuses on the service industry and the industry is univocal, limiting the employment prospects of young people. The imbalance between jobs and housing has put great pressure on the north-south transportation system, and citizens spend a lot of time and resources on transportation. In order to solve the above three development bottlenecks, the SAR government proposes to develop the northern metropolitan area, open up land space, promote re-industrialization, provide employment opportunities, and release the development potential of the New Territories.

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There is a time limit for foreign capital to be temporarily withdrawn and returned

The spread of the epidemic has remained at a low level, and Hong Kong has been continuously integrating with international activities. "Hong Kong is back" is the theme of many international high-level summits and exhibitions. Chief Executive Lee Ka-chiu added an "Office for Introduction of Key Enterprises" in his first policy address, which will undertake this series of external exchanges and take the initiative to attract foreign investment. The current government loves to talk about KPIs, but the latest foreign investment survey by the Census and Statistics Department found that the number of companies in Hong Kong has turned from rising to falling, falling below 9,000. This confirms that Hong Kong’s attractiveness has faded slightly, and it is necessary to step up efforts to reverse the trend and maintain Hong Kong’s international business. business status.

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Say goodbye to neoliberalism

Hong Kong has always been a bastion of neoliberalism. In order to create a level playing field, the government rarely actively intervenes in the market. The government has locked fiscal expenditure at 20% of GDP. Even though the expenditure has increased slightly in recent years and has slightly broken this golden rule, it still adheres to the "big market, small government" principle. Constrained by governance philosophy and financial resources, Hong Kong has never had a strong industrial policy and can only passively expect the business community to respond to the government's vision. Li Jiachao issued his first "Policy Address" to lead the industrial layout and proactively attract investment, reflecting that the new government will break the inertia of "active non-intervention".

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Transplanting Hong Kong-style life promotes moving north to retire

It used to be a habit for Hong Kong people to return to their hometowns for retirement, and there are also housing estates where Hong Kong people live in Zhongshan, Shunde and other places. The living spaces in mainland cities in the Greater Bay Area are comfortable and spacious, and the food and life culture are similar, which attracts many Hong Kong people to go north to live and recuperate. At present, Hong Kong elders can enjoy preferential treatment for the elderly from local residents by presenting Mainland Elderly Cards. The “money goes with everyone” policy provides portable welfare measures so that they do not have to give up Hong Kong’s various subsidies even if they move to the mainland, making the Greater Bay Area an ideal place for retirement.

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Three major platforms in the Bay Area deepen cooperation between Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao in three years

The outline document for the development of the Greater Bay Area focuses on spatial layout and economic planning. For many ordinary people, it is a top-level design and may not be able to see its meaning. Substantial progress needs to rely on major cooperation platforms such as Shenzhen Qianhai, Zhuhai Hengqin, Guangzhou Nansha and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Loop before the public can see the results. He Lifeng, director of the National Development and Reform Commission, once proposed "targeted selection of major cooperation platforms." The "Qianhai Plan" and "Hengqin Plan" were released last year, and the "Nansha Plan" also caught up this year, with many projects achieving minor successes. .

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