Hong Kong Economic Journal

Centrist political groups strive to survive and win government research projects

Following the official liquidation and dissolution of the Civic Party last year, the Democratic Party Central Committee also decided a few days ago to set up a team to follow up on the dissolution process. In addition to political space, the survival of centrists in Hong Kong's political arena has attracted much attention, and fiscal constraints are another test. As far as I know, one of the self-proclaimed centrist organizations, Democratic Ideas, is currently conducting a research project with government resources. It is conducting in-depth interviews with stakeholders such as industry professionals, scholars and experts on the changes in press freedom in Hong Kong in recent years. These funded projects can alleviate financial pressure.

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Hong Kong youth are becoming more positive about the development of the Greater Bay Area in the north

Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao are connected by mountains and rivers, and the three places have a long history of people-to-people exchanges and economic ties. With the opening of the high-speed rail and the opening of the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge, commuting time in neighboring cities has been saved, making cross-border lifestyles such as studying, working, living, and retiring more feasible.

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Changes in public sentiment and public opinion structure in Carrie Lam’s first year of administration

The concept of "one country, two systems" requires "seeking common ground while reserving great differences." It is natural for a pluralistic society to have different opinions. Faced with the long-term accumulation of antagonism among citizens and public opinion, "great reconciliation" to resolve conflicts is believed to be the wish of most citizens. The new government focuses on improving people's livelihood and dealing with long-standing and difficult issues such as land and housing. In particular, it needs to seek compromise and consensus. This article will use opinion polls and big data technology to analyze whether the polarized atmosphere in society has eased after the first anniversary of Carrie Lam's administration from the perspective of the chief executive's popularity, public sentiment and changes in public opinion.

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Hong Kong youth’s “Chinese” identity changes from negative to positive

The issue of Hong Kong's youth has become a national issue, and national identity has become the focus of the news. The Hong Kong Citizen Identity Survey published by the University of Hong Kong Minyan at the end of last year showed that the rate of Hong Kong young people (18 to 29 years old) claiming to be Hong Kongers rose to 69.7%, a record high in the 20 years since the handover, while the rate of self-proclaimed "Chinese" There is only 0.3%, which is the lowest record since the return. This result was widely reported by the media, and the public generally believed that Hong Kong youth did not identify with Chinese identity.

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A preliminary study on the one country, two systems index

To ensure that "one country, two systems" can be implemented stably and long-term, we must review Hong Kong's achievements and shortcomings since its return to the motherland. In order to provide the government and the public with a reliable reference, Democratic Thinking compiled the "One Country, Two Systems" index on the 20th anniversary of Hong Kong's return to the motherland. It commissioned the Institute of Asia-Pacific Studies at the Chinese University to conduct a telephone survey and referred to the freedom and democracy index compiled by international organizations to comprehensively analyze the opinions of Hong Kong citizens and international organizations. From two perspectives, we try to comprehensively evaluate the implementation of "one country, two systems" (see http://pathofdemocracy.hk/one-country-two-systems-index/ for a detailed report).

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How to overcome internal resistance in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

The contradiction between China and Hong Kong continues to worsen, and the integration of the two places is aroused. Political issues must ultimately be resolved politically, and repairing the rifts will inevitably require a great reconciliation. The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area was included in the "Government Work Report" of the State Council. The Hong Kong-Macao Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration will develop collaboratively and take advantage of its geographical advantages to be on par with the economies of world-class bay areas such as the San Francisco Bay Area, New York Bay Area, and Tokyo Bay Area.

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Hong Kong’s irreplaceable and unique role in the new Sino-US trade situation 

Sino-US trade relations have once again worried the market after US President Trump took office. He once threatened to impose tariffs of 45% on Chinese imported goods. Initially, comments suspected that his tough attitude was just a populist slogan for posturing. However, given that he quickly announced his complete abandonment of the TPP, implemented a vigorous immigration ban, and recently proposed new taxes on Mexican goods, the new US government's aggressive China policy may not be just to gain bargaining chips. China and the United States are Hong Kong's largest trading partners, accounting for 51% and 7% of total trade respectively. Trade friction between the two countries is looming, and it is impossible for Hong Kong to remain immune. Regarding the future development of the situation, two extreme scenarios of optimism and pessimism can be deduced to consider how Hong Kong should handle itself.

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