{"id":3437,"date":"2025-10-27T21:04:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-27T13:04:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/?p=3437"},"modified":"2026-09-04T12:23:55","modified_gmt":"2026-09-04T04:23:55","slug":"%e6%97%a5%e6%9c%ac%e6%96%b0%e8%97%8d%e5%9c%96%ef%bc%9f%e9%ab%98%e5%b8%82%e6%97%a9%e8%8b%97%e7%9a%84%e7%b5%84%e9%96%a3%e4%bb%a3%e5%83%b9%e8%88%87%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e8%b1%aa%e8%b3%ad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/en\/%e6%97%a5%e6%9c%ac%e6%96%b0%e8%97%8d%e5%9c%96%ef%bc%9f%e9%ab%98%e5%b8%82%e6%97%a9%e8%8b%97%e7%9a%84%e7%b5%84%e9%96%a3%e4%bb%a3%e5%83%b9%e8%88%87%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e8%b1%aa%e8%b3%ad\/","title":{"rendered":"A New Blueprint for Japan? The Cost of Sanae Takaichi&#039;s Cabinet Formation and a High-Stakes Economic Gamble"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sanae Takaichi officially became Japan&#039;s first female prime minister, a significant breakthrough not only in gender equality but also a major turning point in Japanese politics and policy direction. Her appointment marks the beginning of a political restructuring and policy reshaping, from rebuilding internal alliances and shifting diplomatic stances to a comprehensive economic policy offensive. The Takaichi government is facing a multi-dimensional test.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After Sanae Takaichi won the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) presidential election, she initially expected to continue cooperating with the Komeito Party. However, Komeito&#039;s sudden withdrawal forced her to seek new allies. Ultimately, she chose to ally with the third-largest party, the Japan Restoration Party. Although she successfully formed a government, it came at a high cost. The Japan Restoration Party put forward twelve conditions, including a suspension of the consumption tax and transparency in political donations. Some of these demands were rejected by the LDP, but Takaichi made compromises, such as reducing the number of proportional representation seats and upgrading Osaka to a sub-capital city. This &quot;shadow cooperation&quot; model, while not allowing the Japan Restoration Party to join the cabinet, secured parliamentary support and demonstrated Takaichi&#039;s pragmatic approach to power struggles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A hardline stance against China caters to the United States.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kaoichi&#039;s diplomatic stance is considered right-leaning, even far-right. Her use of the term &quot;precious friend&quot; to refer to Taiwan on social media has touched a nerve with mainland China. While she used phrases like &quot;close exchanges between the Chinese and Japanese people&quot; at press conferences to soften her stance, her actions suggest a hardline policy towards China. The withdrawal of the Komeito party also means the Liberal Democratic Party has lost a moderate voice to check its China policy. Kaoichi herself supports amending Article 9 of the Constitution to allow for the normalization of the national defense forces, which is not only a major shift in military policy but could also exacerbate regional tensions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Furthermore, US President Trump is about to visit Japan and is expected to request that Japan increase its defense spending to 3.51 trillion t\/t of GDP. The Takashi City government faces pressure not only from diplomatic allies but also from its domestic fiscal burden. She also supports the $550 billion investment plan between the US and Japan, but emphasized that if it is not in Japan&#039;s interests, she is willing to renegotiate within that framework, demonstrating a certain willingness to negotiate. Responding to US demands while maintaining domestic economic stability will be one of the most challenging aspects of her early term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Fiscal Challenges of Kaohsiung Economics<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sanae Kaoichi&#039;s economic policies, known as &quot;Kaoichi Economics,&quot; continue the quantitative easing approach of Abenomics but incorporate more elements of economic security and industrial upgrading. Upon taking office, she implemented a supplementary budget of 13.9 trillion yen, covering inflation mitigation, strategic industry support, local subsidies, and tax breaks. She particularly emphasized investment in areas such as AI, semiconductors, energy, and cybersecurity, demonstrating that she considers economic security as part of national security.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Japan&#039;s inflation rate is currently higher than the central bank&#039;s target of 21 TP3T, but wage growth remains slow, posing a core challenge to policy implementation. While the stock market is optimistic about Kaohsiung&#039;s inauguration, reflecting market expectations for a &quot;stable politics, stable economy&quot; strategy, her approval rating may face a test if she fails to quickly push forward structural reforms, such as building consensus among factions and accelerating legislation and industrialization. Japan&#039;s debt ratio has exceeded 250 TP3T of GDP, meaning Kaohsiung must carefully manage risks to avoid sharp yen fluctuations and soaring interest rates. If her fiscal stimulus fails to drive substantial growth, it could create both economic and financial pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The choice between symbolism and substance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kaohsiung&#039;s cabinet members come from different factions, including the Kishida and Aso factions, indicating her attempt to achieve balance within the party. However, this &quot;cobbled-together&quot; cabinet also means that policy implementation may face resistance. Her distinctive personal style, her fondness for social media and personalized expression, may attract young voters, but could also spark controversy in traditional political culture. Whether she can become a reform-minded leader or merely a transitional figure remains to be seen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sanae Takaichi&#039;s election symbolizes a breakthrough in Japanese politics, but the real challenges have only just begun. She needs to strike a balance between a tough foreign policy and economic stability, maintain cooperation between party factions and coalition parties, and choose between reform and compromise. Whether she can break the stereotype that &quot;female prime ministers are merely symbolic&quot; and become a truly influential leader will depend on her performance in the coming months. The ever-changing landscape of Japanese politics awaits her first report card.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sanae Takaichi officially became Japan&#039;s first female prime minister, a significant breakthrough not only in gender equality but also a major turning point in Japanese politics and policy direction. Her appointment marks the beginning of a political restructuring and policy reshaping, from rebuilding internal alliances and shifting diplomatic stances to a comprehensive economic policy offensive. The Takaichi government is facing a multi-dimensional test.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":3438,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[106],"tags":[115],"class_list":["post-3437","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-international-affairs","tag-115"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3437","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3437"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3437\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3439,"href":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3437\/revisions\/3439"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3438"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3437"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3437"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/raypoon.hk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3437"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}